Oil Monitor as of 16 August 2017


WORLD OIL PRICES (August 07-11, 2017 trading days)  

Dubai crude increased week-on-week by about US$0.30/bbl. MOPS gasoline increased as well by nearly US$1.00/bbl, contrary to that of diesel that decreased by more than US$0.50 per barrel.

Reasons for the Adjustment

  • Crude oil prices have increased after official figures showed a larger than expected fall in US crude stocks. Data showing six consecutive weeks of decline in U.S. crude inventories added to optimism that the market was rebalancing. For the week ending August 4, US oil inventories fell by 6.5 million barrels (MMB) to 474.4 MMB. For distillate inventories including diesel, the EIA reported a fall of 1.7 MMB. 

  • Asian gasoline prices stayed elevated on tight supply as well as relatively good demain in Asia and the Middle East. The Asian gasoline market is really that strong with the strengthening of the 92 RON crack.

  • Several refinery issues in the region led tot he price volatility in the Asian gasoil market. A fire broke out at a motor control center transformer at South Korean producer GS Caltex's refinery; the impact of the incident was yet to be determined.

  • Supply side issues also weighed on prices, with Libyan production in July hitting its highest level for the year. Further, OPEC reported on Thursday another increase in the group's production, by 173,000 barrels-per-day (MMBPD) in July to 32.87 MMBPD. Rising output from Nigeria and Libya is also denting the oil producers' attempt to limit oil production (both countries are exempted from the output cut as they strive to restore supplies hurt by internal conflicts).

  • Oil prices rose slightly on friday in volatile trading as the market wieghed lower U. S. crude stocks, Nigerian instability and strong global demand growth against a persistently slow rebalancing.

FOREX: Philippine peso depreciated against the US dollar by P0.23 to P50.37, from P50.60 in preceding week. 

Other recommended reference sites: 

 


 

DOMESTIC OIL PRICES      

Effective 15 August 2017, most of the oil companies increased their prices of gasoline by P0.45/liter. Both diesel and kerosene decreased by P0.10/liter.

Year-to-date adjustments stands now at net increase of P2.24/liter in gasoline and P1.60/liter in diesel.  LPG has a net increase of P2.94/kg.

 

As monitored, shown below are the retail prices in Metro Manila beginning August 15, 2017.

Products Price Range Common Price
P/liter
Diesel 32.98-39.10 32.75
Gasoline* 39.40-49.40 45.70
LPG, P/11-kg cylinders 450.00-680.00  

* RON 95

 

For more information, call the

Department of Energy
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: oilmonitor@doe.gov.ph
Website: https://www.doe.gov.ph

 

Oil and LPG Monitor as of 09 August 2017


Oil Monitor as of 18 July 2017


WORLD OIL PRICES (July 10-14, 2017 trading days) 

Crude prices were sharply lower this week by an average of about six percent, as a rise in U.S.crude production and a climb in oil rigs reactivated concerns that OPEC-led efforts to bring balance the market are ruined.

Baker Hughes disclosed its latest data stating that the number of active U.S. oil rigs climbed by 7 to 763 rigs. The data contradicted some expectations that the rig count would continue to fall, following the previous week’s retreat, which marked the first decline since January.

Furthermore, the U.S. Energy Department Administration’s report of a weekly rise in the country’s crude production pulled crude benchmark-WTI toward their lowest finish in nearly two weeks.

The crude production gains from Libya and Nigeria, the two OPEC members exempt from the deal in order to steer oil revenue, likewise weighed on the week’s price decline.  OPEC economists in their monthly market report for July said that, combined, Nigeria and Libya were adding about a quarter million barrels of oil per day to the market, while other member states scale back.

Gasoline market in Asia Pacific was referred to as weak as supply is expected to outstrip demand in the near term.  Even as prices continued to fall, Platts noted that the market has not yet bottomed out and there is still some way down. Gasoline cargoes were heard coming to Asia from the EU but data from International Enterprise Singapore showed that as of July 12, no cargoes have arrived directly from Europe to Singapore. Cargoes are perceived to be bypassing Singapore.

As for gasoil, the market remained supported by increased buying interest and the likelihood of arbitrage arrivals.  Middle East and India remained the countries to have high demand for gasoil.  Shortage of the middle distillate, fuelled by several refinery shutdowns for maintenance and upgrade works, has pulled surplus barrels into region. On the supply front, market participants reiterated that supply was tight, especially for prompt/spot barrels.

Overall, Dubai crude decreased week-on-week by about US$1.40/bbl.  MOPS gasoline and diesel decreased as well by US$0.65 and US$1.90 per barrel, respectively.

FOREX: The Philippine peso depreciated further against the US dollar by P0.06 to P50.62, from P50.56 in previous week.
 
Other recommended reference sites: 


DOMESTIC OIL PRICES   

Effective 18 July 2017, the oil companiesimplemented price rollbacks of P0.20/liter for gasoline and P0.60/liter for diesel.  Kerosene also decreased by P0..50/liter.

Year-to-date, both gasoline diesel have net decrease of P0.45 and P0.25 per liter, respectively. LPG has net decrease of P2.41/kg.   


As monitored, shown below are the retail prices in Metro Manila beginning June 20, 2017.
Products Price  Common 
Range Price
P/liter
Diesel 26.87-32.41  30.80
Gasoline* 36.70-47.61  43.00
LPG, P/11-kg cylinders 415.00-660.00  

* RON 95

For more information, call the

Department of Energy:
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: oilmonitor@doe.gov.ph
Website: https://www.doe.gov.ph

 

 

Oil Monitor as of 11 July 2017


WORLD OIL PRICES (July 3-7, 2017 trading days)  

Prices of Dubai crude and petroleum products spiked during the week by an average of about US$2/bbl mainly due to reports on the following:

  • Declines in U.S. crude and European product stockpiles; 

  • U.S. crude stocks plunged almost three times more than forecast in the latest week 

  • US gasoline inventories decreased unexpectedly 

  • Total product demand over the last month averaged over 20.7 million barrels per day, up by 2.8% from the same period last year; and 

  • Saudi Arabia cutting back shipments of crude oil to the United States

These have supported speculations of some analysts that global demand is stronger than people thought it was going to be, and that is having a net positive effect on prices.

Similarly, the Asian gasoline market turned slightly bullish after the US-Energy Information Administration released supportive stock data. The data showed US gasoline stocks declining by 3.7 million barrels in the week ended June 30. This caused into US implied gasoline demand increased by 0.17 million barrels to 9.71 million barrels over the same period.

Gasoil market in the region is equally bullish, supported by the demand from India.  Upgrading works at several Indian refineries since May had led to a shortage of the middle distillate, drawing surplus barrels from the region.  

Overall, Dubai crude increased week-on-week by about US$2/bbl along with MOPS gasoline; diesel increased by about USS$3 per barrel. 

FOREX: The Philippine peso depreciated against the US dollar by P0.16 to P50.56/$, from P50.40 in previous week. 

Other recommended reference sites: 


DOMESTIC OIL PRICES    
 
Effective 11 July 2017, the oil companies implemented an increase of P0.70/liter for gasoline and P1.20/liter for diesel.  Kerosene was also increased by P0.90/liter. 

Year-to-date, gasoline has net decrease of P0.26/liter while diesel has net increase of P0.35/liter. LPG has net decrease of P2.41/kg.


As monitored, shown below are the retail prices in Metro Manila beginning June 20, 2017.
Products Price  Common 
Range Price
P/liter
Diesel 27.47-33.01  31.40
Gasoline* 36.90-47.81  43.20
LPG, P/11-kg cylinders 435.00-680.00  

* RON 95

For more information, call the

Department of Energy:
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: oilmonitor@doe.gov.ph
Website: https://www.doe.gov.ph

 

Oil Monitor as of 20 June 2017


WORLD OIL PRICES (June 12-16, 2017 trading days)

Talks of oil supply glut reverted prices higher by about half a dollar Monday, but have seesawed in the next trading days on mixed news of emerging fresh demand for petroleum products from the Middle East and in the region. 

Other factors that have predominant effects to the market were as follows:

  • OPEC report of an increase in its production for May despite a supply cut agreement and said the oil market was rebalancing more slowly than expected;
  • Pronouncement of leading energy authority that the world’s oil glut is seen to persist until next year despite the efforts by major producers to shore up the oil price by cutting output; and
  • High global inventories and increasing doubts over OPEC’s ability to comply with the agreed output cuts.

In Asia, the week ended with mixed sentiment in gasoline and gasoil market as both bullish and bearish factors continued to exert pressure.  While gasoline market still relatively strong, analysts say that it is affected by the weak fundamentals in Europe and the US.  As for gasoil, emerging regional demand for both low and medium sulfur gasoil grades have continued to sustain sentiment, while surplus barrels remained trapped within the region.   Platts further noted that the strong EFS continue to keep a lid on cross-regional flows from Asia and the Middle East to the West of Suez.

Overall, Dubai crude decreased week-on-week by more than a dollar.  MOPS gasoline and diesel likewise decreased by more than US$2 and about US$0.50 per barrel, respectively.

FOREX: The Philippine peso depreciated against the US dollar by P0.12 to P49.61/$, from P49.49/$ in the previous week.

Other recommended reference sites:


DOMESTIC OIL PRICES   

Effective 20 June 2017, the oil companies implemented a price decrease of P0.70/liter for gasoline, P0.10/liter for diesel and P0.15/liter for kerosene.

Year-to-date, gasoline and diesel  have net decrease of P0.91 and P1.35 per liter respectively. LPG remains at net decrease of P0.76/kg.  


As monitored, shown below are the retail prices in Metro Manila beginning June 20, 2017.
Products Price  Common 
Range Price
P/liter
Diesel 26.10-31.31 29.45
Gasoline* 36.25-47.16 46.95
LPG, P/11-kg cylinders 435.00-680.00  
*RON 95    

* RON 95

For more information, call the

Department of Energy:
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: oilmonitor@doe.gov.ph
Website: https://www.doe.gov.ph

 

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